We see some potentially big news today about where U.S. Attorney Fitzgerald might be heading in his CIA leak investigation and it is the Washington Post
today which perhaps moves the ball a little further down the field...
The first "c" word we're hearing now is "conspiracy." Here's what the report is in the Post:
Many lawyers in the case have been skeptical that Fitzgerald has the evidence to prove a violation of the Intelligence Identities Protection Act, which is the complicated crime he first set out to investigate, and which requires showing that government officials knew an operative had covert status and intentionally leaked the operative's identity.
But a new theory about Fitzgerald's aim has emerged in recent weeks from two lawyers who have had extensive conversations with the prosecutor while representing witnesses in the case. They surmise that Fitzgerald is considering whether he can bring charges of a criminal conspiracy perpetrated by a group of senior Bush administration officials. Under this legal tactic, Fitzgerald would attempt to establish that at least two or more officials agreed to take affirmative steps to discredit and retaliate against Wilson and leak sensitive government information about his wife. To prove a criminal conspiracy, the actions need not have been criminal, but conspirators must have had a criminal purpose. (emphasis added)
First of all, my reaction is that this would be pretty earth shaking if it were to happen. Whether it will, let's wait and see. But a conspiracy charge would explain the length of the investigation in terms of the need to look at a number of actors potentially involved and the need for Fitzgerald to take the time to ensure he has a case. A criminal conspiracy emanating from the White House? Better be pretty sure about that, given its monumental implications.
Now why is this appearing in Sunday's Washington Post? It is "two lawyers who have had extensive conversations with the prosecutor while representing witnesses in the case" who suggest that conspiracy is where Fitzgerald might be going. I take it that this is due to possible plea bargaining discussions that might have been going on between the lawyers and Fitzgerald. How else would they have this impression and why else would they have had extensive discussions with him? He hasn't been talking to anybody. So if that is the case, that they are plea bargaining, this would explain a few things. Namely the White House, as most agree, being "off its game" of late, occupying perhaps Libby & Rove's time.
This is also likely to tick off Fitzgerald to have a leak such as this to the Washington Post, practically daring him to bring it on this coming week. What does leaking this information accomplish? Give them some control of the reporting of it, deflate the impact of his announcement? Or are these lawyers not involved in plea bargaining at all and simply speculating...
I must say, as well, this article is pretty carefully and intricately crafted in terms of building the case for conspiracy. Prior to mentioning the possibility of a conspiracy charge, the reporters are careful to set out what Libby's account of his involvement was:
Libby, a central figure in the probe since its earliest days and the vice president's main counselor, discussed Plame with at least two reporters but testified that he never mentioned her name or her covert status at the CIA, according to lawyers in the case.
...and then setting out
Rove's story:
His story is similar to that of Karl Rove, President Bush's top political adviser. Rove, who was not an initial focus of the investigation, testified that he, too, talked with two reporters about Plame but never supplied her name or CIA role.
Apparently, Rove and Libby neatly have the same stories. The article then points out this fact:
Their testimony seems to contradict what the White House was saying a few months after Plame's CIA job became public.
In October 2003, White House spokesman Scott McClellan told reporters that he personally asked Libby and Rove whether they were involved, "so I could come back to you and say they were not involved." Asked if that was a categorical denial of their involvement, he said, "That is correct."
The characterization of Libby's & Rove's alleged testimony in the article subtly suggests a possible obstruction element, especially when placed in direct contrast to the White House's public utterings of innocence via McLellan. The claims that Rove & Libby were not involved may have pointed Fitzgerald in the direction of a conspiracy given this private-public discrepancy of stories...
And while many still share the prediction put forth by another lawyer, here:
Other lawyers in the case surmise Fitzgerald does not have evidence of any crime at all and put Miller in jail simply to get her testimony and finalize the investigation. "Even assuming . . . that somebody decided to answer back a critic, that is politics, not criminal behavior," said one lawyer in the case. This lawyer said the most benign outcome would be Fitzgerald announcing that he completed a thorough investigation, concluded no crime was committed and would not issue a report.
This opinion ignores that the "politics" involved here had the effect of outing a CIA undercover operative, thereby exposing her contacts, cover operations, and cover itself to the world. Whether this caused significant damage is likely to have been the subject of a CIA damage assessment report. This could have been information supplied to the judge who ordered
Miller & Cooper's testimony and if it is as damaging as many think, the view that all Libby & Rove are guilty of is "political" behaviour is a hard one to maintain. Again, we'll wait and see.
Finally, the second "C," Dick Cheney. I'm sure others may notice this - the article's inclusion of Cheney in the reporting is somewhat new. I have not really noticed, until now, his being characterized as an active participant in the reporting on events in question. But here, in this article, it's "Cheney's staff" now who are reported to have been looking into Wilson. It's Cheney who started making inquiries of the CIA as to how Wilson came to be sent to Niger. It's "Cheney and Libby" who were involved in building the case for the Iraq war. All of a sudden, there are references to Cheney in the mix, beyond Libby who has thus far been the front man in a lot of these reports. A subtle and perhaps inconsequential thing to notice? Or a significant one that portends a conspiracy charge that rises higher than most expected?