Thursday, October 26, 2006

An end to conservative dominance says David Brooks

David Brooks today, "The Era of What's Next," declaring that 2006 is the end of a period of conservative dominance that spanned 1980-2006:
We’re about to enter another of those periods without a dominant ideology. It’s clear that this election will mark the end of conservative dominance. This election is a period, not a comma in political history.

That’s clear not only because Republicans could lose their majorities, but for several other reasons. First, conservatives have exhausted their agenda. They have little new left to propose and have lost their edge on issues like fiscal discipline and foreign policy. Second, conservatives are beset by scandals, the kind of institutional decay that afflicts movements at the end of their political lives. Third, the Reagan coalition is splintering, with the factions going off in wildly different directions.

Fourth, there is no viable orthodox conservative candidate for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination. Orthodox conservatives like Allen, Frist and Santorum are fading, and only heterodox figures like McCain, Giuliani and Romney are rising.
This guy continues to pleasantly surprise of late...and still obsessed by the office park suburbs I note, the locus of the next dominant "pragmatic" ideology according to Brooks...