Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Morning after on those by-elections

Here's a report if you don't know what happened last night: "Tories, NDP make gains in by-elections." I'm pretty much talked out on these, did lots of that on twitter last night. So, a few brief items...

On that Montmagny pick-up by Conservatives, which is the really big news...I have expressed for two days now that this seat was likely going to go their way due to the tremendous effort they expended on the seat, including that last minute $242 million spending announcement on Friday. Pretty expensive pick-up, glad we taxpayers could help them out. Unknown, whether the Nixonian tactics that occurred yesterday in the form of robocalls to suppress the Bloc vote paid off to the extent of affecting the vote. A police complaint was launched. All in all, kind of an ugly result due to the obscene last minute spending and the robocalls.

On that B.C. win by the NDP candidate, this was a race that was supposed to be close yet it was a blow-out, likely due to an HST protest vote (a dynamic which bears exploration in the wake of that result). The Conservatives did their "Montmagny" act on Thursday of last week for this riding too, except instead of dropping $242 million, they announced the salmon judicial inquiry. Yet that gesture didn't overcome the stronger sentiment against the HST. So, any inkling that there is majority support for the Conservatives arising out of these results falters on this result, in my view. They had a good night, but not that kind of night.

Now I'm sure we're all sick to death of the by-elections, onwards...