Monday, February 14, 2011

More fun with polls: Ontario version

A Nanos poll features quite prominently in the Globe today: "Poll finds Ontarians turning against McGuinty."

So let's check the track record from Nanos polls during the 2007 Ontario election held on October 10th of that year...

Two polls close to the election date...

Tory and McGuinty Statistically Tied as Best Premier, September 25, 2007.

Tory and McGuinty statistically tied in trust, September 27, 2007.

And one from earlier that summer...

Ontario Liberals and PCs in Dead Heat, June 3, 2007.

The result in that election, a Liberal majority with 71 out of 107 seats and Mr. Tory lost his own seat.

Just a few items to consider when weighing that poll this morning, along with that Canadian Press report on polls of course, covered in the previous blog post.