Friday, March 09, 2012

Early evening robocon

Polling on election fraud allegations...it's going to happen, might as well take a looksy: "Canadians split on who's to blame for robocalls: poll." From Ipsos, it is said to be a "blended telephone and online poll this week of 3,154 Canadians..."(1001 telephone/2153 online). While the headline is playing up a "split," this isn't good news for the Conservatives given the high threshold in the statement that respondents are asked to express agreement or disagreement with:
In the survey, people were told there had been accusations that some people working for the Conservative party in the last election "made calls to supporters of other parties and either pretended to represent their party of choice and deliberately harassed them or to deliberately confuse them about which polling stations to vote at on election day." The pollster also told respondents that Harper and senior Tories had said they had "nothing to do with these calls."

The survey found that 50 per cent of Canadians agree with the statement that "these accusations are true and the Conservative Party had a co-ordinated campaign to deceive Canadian voters with misleading telephone calls in the last federal election."

By comparison, 47 per cent disagreed with the statement, while the remainder said they did not know.
50% are willing to express agreement with a very certain statement pinning responsibility on the Conservatives for a co-ordinated fraudulent campaign. Beyond the facts that are piling up and pointing to one party, that probably speaks beyond the current events to the Conservatives' track record on democratic issues and an unwillingness in a majority not to give them the benefit of the doubt. A political party that cares about its integrity and public perception shouldn't be happy with that 50% result or the notion that there's a "split" in the poll.

That 47% would not agree is not necessarily a flat no, exoneration result. I would imagine saying yes to a co-ordinated campaign to deceive people out of their vote could be a hurdle for many people still piecing it together.

There is another response in the poll that bolsters the view that many may just be in holding mode: "Sixty-eight per cent of those polled said if the Conservatives are found to have conducted the misleading robocalls, there should be new elections "in the ridings where it happened." By comparison, 32 per cent disagreed with that course of action."

In any event, as we know, facts are what are important in this unfolding mess and opinions won't factor into those ongoing investigations. Today's latest on what those facts are turning up is more bad news for Conservatives:
Automated phone calls that directed people to the wrong polling stations in the last federal election may have overwhelmingly targeted older voters, the Toronto Star has learned.

Elections Canada investigators sifting through a flood of complaints that have emerged about dirty tricks in the spring 2011 campaign have started to notice this pattern as they call individuals to verify details of the suspicious phone calls they reported receiving.

Most of those who received an automated phone call telling them their polling station had been changed say they were contacted early in the campaign by the Conservative Party and indicated that they would not be supporting their local Tory candidate.
Dave is piecing it all together on why that news about targeting older voters is important, go read.