Monday, September 15, 2008

Downward trend continues

"Conservative lead narrows." In addition to Ekos on the weekend, Harris/Decima has the numbers coming back down to minority territory. In fact it's looking a lot like the status quo and closer to the 2006 numbers. So the media narratives about a majority Conservative government and the NDP replacing the Liberals are all a might overdone. The sweater vest halo is fading.

Of note, this brief line on Quebec:
A regional breakdown of the numbers suggests the Liberals have gained support in Quebec at the expense of the Conservatives, who are running second to the Bloc Québécois.
I am looking forward to watching the Quebec numbers as this thing progresses...